3 signal yang nentuin support beneran hold atau cuma pump trap
Kalau iya — lu beli sebelum konfirmasi. Support yang "hold" bisa jadi fake bounce.
Support = zona dimana buyer pernah masuk kuat.
Tapi "pernah" ≠ "akan" masuk lagi sekarang.
STAT:
45% support yang "hold" di first touch = break di second touch dalam 7 hari.
Price touch $450 support — tapi volume 2x higher dari average?
Itu buyer beneran masuk. Bukan bouncing dead cat.
AVG VOL
SPIKE 2x
Green signal → buyer conviction ada
Price sempat break support $450 ke $447 — tapi close di $452?
Itu buyer absorption. Seller coba push — tapi kena beli masif.
Long lower wick = strong buy defense
Touch support di $450 → next candle close $456?
Buyer follow-through. Support confirmed hold.
Touch $450
Close $456
Kalau 3 signal ini ada → support legit hold.
Price touch $280 support
Volume: normal (no spike)
Wick: pendek (no rejection)
Next candle: close $279 (below support)
RESULT:
Support break dalam 2 hari. Price drop 8%.
Kenapa? Buyer gak ada follow-through. Volume lemah = conviction rendah.
Cek volume — spike ≥1.5x average?
Cek wick — rejection ke bawah ada?
Tunggu next candle close — di atas support?
Ketiga-nya ✓ → Entry valid. Kalau 1 missing → SKIP.
Atau tag temen yang buy di support terus kena fake-out — lu tau siapa.